Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#258
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#266
Pace55.4#345
Improvement+2.9#63

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#265
Improvement+1.7#91

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#239
Improvement+1.2#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2012 162   @ San Diego L 61-65 19%     0 - 1 -0.6 -1.4 +0.3
  Nov 15, 2012 175   Tulsa L 56-76 31%     0 - 2 -20.5 -9.5 -13.0
  Nov 17, 2012 284   Siena L 52-56 58%     0 - 3 -11.9 -12.0 -0.9
  Nov 18, 2012 212   Cal St. Northridge L 58-69 38%     0 - 4 -13.5 -16.9 +3.0
  Dec 01, 2012 7   @ Ohio St. L 43-70 2%     0 - 5 -7.1 -18.2 +10.1
  Dec 04, 2012 226   @ Texas Tech L 69-75 31%     0 - 6 -6.5 -6.4 +0.1
  Dec 20, 2012 274   @ Hampton W 54-52 42%     1 - 6 -1.6 -11.2 +9.8
  Dec 22, 2012 305   @ Navy W 55-46 51%     2 - 6 +2.9 -5.6 +10.4
  Dec 31, 2012 296   @ Jacksonville L 51-53 49%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -7.5 -11.4 +3.5
  Jan 02, 2013 257   @ North Florida W 65-52 37%     3 - 7 1 - 1 +10.7 -0.5 +13.2
  Jan 05, 2013 214   South Carolina Upstate L 54-60 51%     3 - 8 1 - 2 -11.9 -12.4 -0.7
  Jan 07, 2013 324   East Tennessee St. L 44-49 80%     3 - 9 1 - 3 -19.7 -20.8 -0.8
  Jan 11, 2013 304   Lipscomb W 67-53 74%     4 - 9 2 - 3 +1.5 -4.0 +7.4
  Jan 17, 2013 243   @ Stetson L 59-71 34%     4 - 10 2 - 4 -13.4 -14.3 +0.6
  Jan 19, 2013 140   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 54-73 16%     4 - 11 2 - 5 -14.1 -12.3 -3.2
  Jan 24, 2013 138   Mercer W 63-46 34%     5 - 11 3 - 5 +15.5 +8.5 +11.9
  Jan 26, 2013 336   Kennesaw St. W 64-53 87%     6 - 11 4 - 5 -6.7 -7.0 +2.0
  Jan 31, 2013 324   @ East Tennessee St. W 70-68 60%     7 - 11 5 - 5 -6.2 +2.0 -8.0
  Feb 02, 2013 214   @ South Carolina Upstate W 70-65 27%     8 - 11 6 - 5 +5.6 +6.4 -0.1
  Feb 08, 2013 304   @ Lipscomb L 58-76 51%     8 - 12 6 - 6 -24.1 -16.0 -9.0
  Feb 14, 2013 140   Florida Gulf Coast L 53-60 35%     8 - 13 6 - 7 -8.6 -9.3 -0.8
  Feb 16, 2013 243   Stetson L 46-62 59%     8 - 14 6 - 8 -23.9 -21.3 -6.2
  Feb 21, 2013 336   @ Kennesaw St. W 64-54 70%     9 - 14 7 - 8 -1.2 -1.5 +2.2
  Feb 23, 2013 138   @ Mercer L 46-63 16%     9 - 15 7 - 9 -12.1 -12.4 -3.9
  Feb 28, 2013 257   North Florida W 72-45 62%     10 - 15 8 - 9 +18.2 +15.6 +10.9
  Mar 02, 2013 296   Jacksonville W 66-62 73%     11 - 15 9 - 9 -7.9 -10.2 +2.3
  Mar 14, 2013 136   @ San Francisco L 68-73 15%     11 - 16 +0.3 -1.1 +1.2
Projected Record 11.0 - 16.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%